炉石传说狂野强度排名（炉石传说NPe专家赛制环境报告第17期）

作者：NGA-Zelknow

NoProsHere战队专家赛制环境报告是一份新出的报告，其定位是专家赛的赛事环境观察。

战队负责人：Gamble，炉石竞技组成员：ecoutepasca，SKItLLeZ

周报作者：ecoutepasca, WickedGood

谢绝私自转载，如有需求请联系炉石区工作人员。

综合： [Zelknow]

当所有人的目光都集中在特级大师联赛第一赛季季后赛的时候，布加勒斯特大师资格赛第二周的比赛也已落下帷幕。但主导两场比赛的环境的，还是那几个套牌。

综述

几套顶级套牌看上去混得风生水起。鲨鱼贼、炸弹战和奇迹法占据了一半以上的出场率分布，八强中更是到了60%。我们在过去的几期里讨论了它们剪刀石头布的关系，而目前看来还没有什么新的构筑可以破坏这种平衡。

鲨鱼贼是前三的套牌中出场率最高的一个，在每一场比赛中都占有25%的出场率，而36个获得资格的选手中，就有14个是靠鲨鱼贼赢下比赛的。它拥有前三套牌中最平衡的对阵胜率分布，并有机会依靠随机获得的卡牌赢下任何一场对局。这也是它能够在这样一个固化的环境中取得成功的重要原因。

奇迹法依然是抓炸弹战的主力选手。而它与盗贼对阵的劣势也在逐渐搬回，得益于像中场拾荒者这样的新组件，它使得奇迹法能够在对局中期就在场面上组织起威胁，同时还能够叠甲并为下回合的咒术师的召唤提供目标。( 但是要是能分裂巨人也不错 )它在本周的特级大师联赛中表现非常不错，但是总体50%胜率和八强48%胜率说明它还是一个炉石水平的试金石。

尽管有着相当极端的对局分布，但是炸弹战还是继续在资格赛中出现。鲨鱼贼的泛滥依然是带炸弹战的一个理由，因为这样1/4的对局都是优势对局，而15%的对局是内战。它不太可能很快消失。

两套猎人套牌在本周的表现都不太好，尤其是中速猎，它总体胜率为47%，而在八强中这个数字跌到了少得可怜的29%。机械猎的表现好一些(总体胜率为52%，八强中胜率为63%)。但在143人中，只有5位选手拿它打进了8强。这两套牌将继续在环境中存在，因为对那些去别的服打比赛的选手来说，它们相对便宜一点。但是对于那些全卡玩家，更应该考虑前面的三套。

萨满在本周表现令人惊喜！鱼人萨和快攻萨(过载/风怒锤)都取得了资格。但这两套牌的对阵胜率分布恰好相反：鱼人萨打战士的胜率像模像样，但遇到法师和盗贼就难以生存；然而快攻萨难打战士却对法贼是优势。虽然样本量比较小，但是这两套牌都值得我们继续关注。

兔兔贼跳进了流行套牌里面，这得感谢Fr0zen将它带到了特级大师季后赛中，并且由于带错牌而输掉了本来该赢的半决赛。初步的统计数据表示它只能对战士有优势并且打不过法师和鲨鱼贼(因为它的目标就是抓慢速，而鲨鱼贼速度比它更快，法师则可以冰住兔兔并且铺一地巨人)，但我们还是需要更多的数据去得出进一步的结论。

至于过去几周值得关注的其他套牌，防战仍然没有任何资本和炸弹战比拼，并且和元气骑一样，它们打任何主流的套牌都占不到什么便宜。与此同时，机械骑、节奏贼和奥秘猎在整体上表现都很出色(52%-54%的胜率)，但尽管它们打进过一两次八强，但却未能取得资格。开发这些套牌可能会有好处，但由于这三套牌加起来样本量才50左右，我们还没有足够的数据去分析这些卡组。

Tier List

参考卡组

Surrender鲨鱼贼

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备牌一AAECAaIHCJwCsgKkA68E7/ECoIADkpcDn7cDC7QB7QLH ALRgAPMgQO0hgO0kQOPlwOQlwP mgOJmwMA

备牌二AAECAaIHCJoCsgLNA68EiAfv8QK0kQOSlwMLtAHtAuEE3QjH AK0hgPOjAOPlwOQlwP mgOJmwMA

MrYagut鲨鱼贼

主套牌AAECAaIHBpwCsgKvBKCAA5KXA5 3Awy0Ae0CzQPdCO/xAsf4ArSGA7SRA4 XA5CXA/6aA4mbAwA=

备牌一AAECAaIHCJoCnAKyAs0DrwS0kQOSlwOJmwMLtAHtAuEE3Qjv8QLH AK0hgPOjAOPlwOQlwP mgMA

备牌二AAECAaIHCpwCsgKkA68EkAfH AKggAOSlwPanQOftwMKtAHtAt0I7/ECtIYDr5EDtJEDj5cDkJcD/poDAA==

Fire鲨鱼贼

主套牌AAECAaIHCLICzQOvBIYJ5/oCoIADkpcDn7cDC7QBnALtAogH3Qim7wLv8QK0hgO0kQOPlwOJmwMA

备牌一AAECAaIHCJwCsgKvBOf6AqCAA5CXA5KXA5 3Awu0Ae0CiAem7wLv8QLRgAPMgQO0hgO0kQOPlwOJmwMA

备牌二AAECAaIHCJoCsgLNA68Ehgnv8QLn gKSlwMLtAGcAu0C4QSIB90Ipu8CtIYDzowDj5cDiZsDAA==

Purple炸弹战

主套牌AAECAQcMS/IFkAf7DJ3wAvT1ApL4AoP7AqCAA5uUA4adA5 3AwmiBP8Hm/MC0fUCnvsCs/wCl5QDmpQDkp8DAA==

备牌一AAECAQcMS5AHnfACm/MC9PUCkvgCoIADwI8Dm5QDhp0D2p0Dn7cDCZ8DogT/B9H1AoP7Ap77ApeUA5qUA5KfAwA=

备牌二AAECAQcK8gX5DPsMnfACkvgCg/sCjvsCoIADm5QDn7cDCkuiBP8Hm/MC0fUCnvsC9YADl5QDmpQDkp8DAA==

Beister炸弹战

主套牌AAECAQcG8gWS AKggAOblAOSnwOftwMMS6IE/wed8AKb8wLR9QKD wKe wKz/AL1gAOXlAOalAMA

备牌一AAECAQcMS6QDogTyBZAHm/MCkvgCoIADm5QDhp0Dkp8Dn7cDCZ3wAtH1AoP7Ap77ArP8AvH8AvWAA5eUA5qUAwA=

备牌二AAECAQcGkvgCs/wCoIADm5QDkp8Dn7cDDEuiBPIF/wf5DJ3wApvzAtH1Ao77AvWAA5eUA5qUAwA=

Fenomeno奇迹法

主套牌AAECAf0EBrgInvAC7vYCxvgCoIADlpoDDNMBqwTLBOYE4Qe8CMiHA9KJA4OWA5 bA KbA/ dAwA=

备牌一AAECAf0EBp7wAu72Asb4AqCAA9KJA5aaAwzTAasEywTmBOEHvAiZ/wLIhwODlgOfmwPimwP/nQMA

备牌二AAECAf0ECqQDkAe4CLwInvAC7vYCxvgCoIADlpoDn7cDCqsE5gThB40IyIcD0okDg5YDn5sD4psD/50DAA==

PNC奇迹法

主套牌AAECAf0ECtMBlgW4CO72Asb4Apn/AqCAA9KJA5aaA5 3AwqrBMsE5gThB7wIyIcDg5YDn5sD4psD/50DAA==

备牌一AAECAf0EDKQDxQSWBZAHuAi8CO72Asb4AqCAA9KJA5aaA5 3AwmrBOYE4QeNCMiHA4OWA5 bA KbA/ dAwA=

备牌二AAECAf0ECNMByQOXBrgIvAju9gLG AKWmgMLqwTLBOYE4QfN9QLIhwPSiQODlgOfmwPimwP/nQMA

Kuonet奇迹法

主套牌AAECAf0EBrgInvAC7vYCxvgCoIADlpoDDNMBqwTLBOYE4Qe8CMiHA9KJA4OWA5 bA KbA/ dAwA=

备牌一AAECAf0ECJAHuAi8CJ7wAu72Asb4AqCAA5aaAwurBOYE4QeNCMP4AsiHA9KJA4OWA5 bA KbA/ dAwA=

备牌二AAECAf0EBu72Asb4AqCAA9KJA5aaA5 3AwzTAasEywTmBOEHvAiZ/wLIhwODlgOfmwPimwP/nQMA

Sialed机械猎

主套牌AAECAR8ErwTg9QKggAOftwMNlwji9QLv9QK09gK5 AKR wKY wKo wL2/QLX/gKJgAPMgQO2nAMA

备牌一AAECAR8ErwTg9QKggAOftwMNlwji9QLv9QK5 AKR wKY wKo wL2/QLX/gKJgAPRgAPMgQO2nAMA

备牌二AAECAR8ErwSggAPylgOftwMNlwji9QLv9QK09gK5 AKR wKY wKo wLX/gKJgAPRgAPMgQO2nAMA

giveme80gold鱼人萨

主套牌AAECAaoIBKfuAu/3ArmZA5 3Aw3FA9sD/gPQB6cIkwniiQOMlAO1mAO/mAPGmQP0mQPHnQMA

备牌一AAECAaoIBP4Dp 4CuZkDn7cDDcUD2wP BdAHpwiTCeKJA4yUA7WYA7 YA8aZA/SZA8edAwA=

备牌二AAECAaoIBJMJp 4CuZkDn7cDDcUD2wP A/8F0AenCOKJA4yUA7WYA7 YA8aZA/SZA8edAwA=

Drujbanul快攻萨

主套牌AAECAaoIAu4BioUDDu8B4ALbA/kD/wXgBrDwAvbwAo/7Apz/AoyFA/aKA4yUA8aZAwA=

备牌一AAECAaoIAu4BioUDDu8B4AL5A/8F4Aaw8AL28AKP wL6/gKb/wKc/wKMhQP2igPGmQMA

备牌二AAECAaoIAu4BioUDDu8B4AL5A/8F4Aaw8AL28AKP wKb/wKc/wKMhQPliQP2igPGmQMA

Fr0zen兔兔贼

主套牌AAECAaIHDLICvQTtBZAHhgnn gKggAO0hgPOjAOSlwO9mQOftwMJtAGcAu0CmwWm8ALX gLg gK0kQOPlwMA

备牌一AAECAaIHCpoCsgK9BO0Fhgnn gKggAPOjAO9mQOftwMKtAGcAu0CmwWXBogHpvAC1/oC4PoCj5cDAA==

备牌二AAECAaIHDLICrwS9BO0FkAeGCef6AqCAA7SGA72ZA4mbA5 3Awm0AZwC7QKbBabwAu/xAtf6AuD6Ao XAwA=

Matty兔兔贼

主套牌AAECAaIHCLICzQOvBO0F5/oCoIADvZkDn7cDC7QBnALtApsFiAeGCabwAtf6AuD6Ao XA4mbAwA=

备牌一AAECAaIHDrICzQO9BO0FkAeGCef6ApSAA6CAA6 RA72ZA4mbA9qdA5 3Awi0AZwC7QKbBabwAtf6AuD6Ao XAwA=

备牌二AAECAaIHCJoCsgKbBe0F5/oCoIADvZkDiZsDC7QBnALtApcGiAeGCabwAtf6AuD6As6MA4 XAwA=

LegBack兔兔贼

主套牌AAECAaIHCLIC7QXn gKggAOvkQO9mQPanQOftwMLtAGcAu0CzQO9BJsFhgmm8ALX gLg gKPlwMA

备牌一AAECAaIHCLQBsgLtBef6AqCAA6 RA72ZA9qdAwuaApwC7QLNA70EmwWGCabwAtf6AuD6As6MAwA=

备牌二AAECAaIHCLICzQOKB5AH5/oCoIADvZkDn7cDC7QBnALtAr0EmwWIB4YJpvAC1/oC4PoCj5cDAA==

ClouDy中速猎

主套牌AAECAR8GuwWbhQOwiwPXjwPmlgP5lgMMqAK1A94ElwjFCNsJgQr27ALJ AKghQOkiAOenQMA

备牌一AAECAR8E3gS7BdsJm4UDDagCtQOXCMUI7QmBCvbsAsn4AqCFA6SIA aWA/mWA56dAwA=

备牌二AAECAR8GxwOXCJjwApuFA/mWA56dAwyoArUD3gTFCNsJgQr27ALJ AKghQOkiAOwiwPmlgMA

Mick中速猎

主套牌AAECAR8EuwWbhQOwiwPmlgMNqAK1A94ElwjFCNsJgQr27ALJ AKghQOkiAP5lgOenQMA

备牌一AAECAR8EuwXbCZuFA aWAw2oArUD3gSXCMUI7QmBCvbsAsn4AqCFA6SIA/mWA56dAwA=

备牌二AAECAR8ExwOXCJjwApuFAw2oArUD3gTFCNsJgQr27ALJ AKghQOkiAPmlgP5lgOenQMA

Greg27宿敌贼

主套牌AAECAaIHBrICzQOvBN0IoIADkpcDDLQBnALtAu/xArSGA7SRA4 XA5CXA6iYA/uaA/6aA4mbAwA=

备牌一AAECAaIHCrQBsgKkA80DrwSQB90IoIADkpcDn7cDCpwC7QLv8QK0hgOvkQO0kQOPlwOQlwP mgOJmwMA

备牌二AAECAaIHCJoCsgLNA68E3Qjv8QKSlwOJmwMLtAHtAuEEtIYDzowDtJEDj5cDkJcDqJgD 5oD/poDAA==

Korangar宿敌贼

主套牌AAECAaIHCpwCsgLNA68EiAeggAOQlwOSlwOomAOftwMKtAHtAt0I7/ECx/gCtIYDtJEDj5cD/poDiZsDAA==

备牌一AAECAaIHDpoCnAKyAs0DrwSIB /xAs6MA7SRA5CXA5KXA6iYA/uaA4mbAwi0Ae0C4QTdCMf4ArSGA4 XA/6aAwA=

备牌二AAECAaIHCpwCsgKkA68E7/ECoIADkJcDkpcDqJgDn7cDCrQB7QLdCMf4AtGAA8yBA7SGA7SRA4 XA/6aAwA=

Magirl防战

主套牌AAECAQcI8gWQB/kMkvgCjvsCoIADhp0Dn7cDC0uiBP8HnfACm/MC0fUC9PUCg/sCnvsCs/wCkp8DAA==

备牌一AAECAQcMS58DpAPyBZAHm/MCkvgCjvsCoIAD0pgDhp0Dn7cDCaIE/wed8ALR9QL09QKD wKe wKVlAOSnwMA

备牌二AAECAQcG8gWRBpL4ApSAA6CAA5 3AwxLogT/B/kMnfACm/MC0fUCg/sCjvsCnvsCs/wCkp8DAA==

Xeno防战

主套牌AAECAQcIkAf5DPT1ApL4Ao77AqCAA4adA5 3AwtLogTyBf8HnfACm/MC0fUCg/sCnvsCs/wCkp8DAA==

备牌一AAECAQcGkAeyCPT1ApL4AqCAA5 3AwxLogKiBPIF/wed8AKb8wLR9QKD wKz/AKUgAOSnwMA

备牌二AAECAQcI8gWQB/T1ApL4AqCAA5uUA4adA5 3AwuiBP8HnfACm/MC0fUCg/sCnvsCs/wCl5QDmpQDkp8DAA==

Eddie元气骑

主套牌AAECAZ8FCPoBhQPtBfQF wz9 wKggAO9hgMLnAKzA9wDzwb2B6f3AoT8Avz8Atn As GA yGAwA=

备牌一AAECAZ8FBoUDswPtBaf3Av37Ar2GAwz6AZwC3AP0Bc8G9gf7DIT8Avz8Atn As GA yGAwA=

备牌二AAECAZ8FDvoBhQPcA/YH wy09gL9 wLx/gKRgAOggAO9hgPPhgPmhgOLigMInAKzA88Gp/cChPwC/PwC2f4C7IYDAA==

Lethal元气骑

主套牌AAECAZ8FCPoBhQPtBfQF wz9 wKggAO9hgMLnAKzA9wDzwb2B6f3AoT8Avz8Atn As GA yGAwA=

备牌一AAECAZ8FCPoBhQOzA 0Fp/cC/fsCoIADvYYDC5wC3AP0Bc8G9gf7DIT8Avz8Atn As GA yGAwA=

备牌二AAECAZ8FDvoBhQPcA/YH wy09gL9 wLx/gKRgAOggAO9hgPPhgPmhgOLigMInAKzA88Gp/cChPwC/PwC2f4C7IYDAA==

Tomas机械骑

主套牌AAECAZ8FCPIFigfL7ALx/gKggAOKmgO0mwOftwMLzwaf9QKl9QL8/ALW/gLX/gLZ/gLd/gLh/gKRgAPMgQMA

备牌一AAECAZ8FCIoH1/4C8f4CoIADi4oDipoDtJsDn7cDC5MEzwaf9QK09gL8/ALW/gLZ/gLd/gLh/gKRgAPMgQMA

备牌二AAECAZ8FCIoH2wrx/gKRgAOggAPMgQOKmgOftwMLzwaPCcvsAp/1AqX1Avz8Atb Atf Atn At3 AuH AgA=

bobbyex节奏贼

主套牌AAECAaIHBrIC7QLNA68E5/oC1YwDDLQBywPhBMYF1AXuBogH3QiGCe/xAo XA4mbAwA=

备牌一AAECAaIHBrQBsgKvBOf6AtWMA5 3AwzLA EE1AXuBogH3QiGCe/xAtGAA8yBA4 XA4mbAwA=

备牌二AAECAaIHBowCsgLtAq8E5/oC1YwDDMsDzQPhBMYF1AXuBogHhgmm7wLv8QKPlwOJmwMA

Sattors奥秘猎

主套牌AAECAR8IxwOHBMkE2wn DKCAA6eCA5uFAwueAagCtQOuBsUImPAC9YkDoooD5pYD ZYD05gDAA==

备牌一AAECAR8KxwOHBMkErgb DO/xAoDzAqCAA6eCA5uFAwqeAagCtQPFCNsJmPAC9YkDoooD ZYD05gDAA==

备牌二AAECAR8KxwOHBMUI/gzJ AKnggObhQOiigPylgOftwMKngGoArUDrgbtCZjwAvWJA aWA/mWA9OYAwA=

ZhangFei奥秘猎

主套牌AAECAR8KxwPJBK4GxQjbCaCAA6eCA5uFA6KKA/mWAwqeAagCtQOHBP4MmPAC7/EC9YkD5pYDvpgDAA==

备牌一AAECAR8KpAPHA8kErgaQB5cIp4IDm4UDoooDn7cDCp4BtQOHBP4MmPAC7/EC9YkD5pYD ZYDvpgDAA==

备牌二AAECAR8K0AKHBMkErgaggAOnggObhQOiigPmlgP5lgMKngG1A8cD2wn DJjwAu/xAtuJA/WJA76YAwA=

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