大学生研究生博士生的论文（双非研究生读文献）

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本期推文将通过思维导图，精读内容，知识补充三个板块，复刻来自于南京航空航天大学的博士论文《后悔规避视角下的灰色风险型决策方法及其应用研究》，为大家带来《博士论文研究综述分析》，一起来看看吧！

Share interest, spread happiness, increase knowledge, leave beautiful! Dear, this is LearningYard Academy.

In this issue, we will use mind mapping, intensive reading and knowledge supplement to copy the doctoral thesis of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics titled "Grey Risk Decision-making Method and Its Application from the perspective of Regret Avoidance", and bring you "Review and Analysis of doctoral thesis research". Let's take a look!

建议在浏览的同时参照文献原文 以获得最佳的阅读体验

论文研究内容版块内容的思维导图如下所示：

The mind map of the research content section of the paper is as follows:

案例分析是对案例正文所作的全面、系统、深入的分析，它能够验证模型的有效性、科学性与适用性。在撰写案例分析时，应当遵循以下原则：

1. 论文应采用正确的理论方法对问题进行客观深入的分析，避免基于管理实践经验的主观评价;

1. The paper should adopt correct theoretical methods to conduct objective and in-depth analysis of the problem, and avoid subjective evaluation based on the management practice experience;

2. 在描述案件时，不要加上自己的想象、观点和评论，避免空泛或泛泛，也不要拼凑字数;

2. When describing the case, do not add your own imagination, opinions and comments, avoid empty or generalities, and do not piece together the number of words;

3.论文必须避免以下两个方面的问题:

3. The paper must avoid the following two aspects of problems:

(1)理论积累:即在不清楚如何运用理论解决问题的情况下，直接将所选的理论内容粘贴到论文中，或将所有相关理论堆砌到论文中;

(1) Accumulation of theories: that is, without a clear idea of how to use theories to solve problems, directly paste the selected theoretical content into the paper, or pile all the relevant theories into the paper;

(2)分析过浅:虽然理论和工具是正确的，也形成了一些思想，但分析不到位，太浅，对问题的根源和解决思路没有真正深入的解释。

(2) The analysis is too shallow: although the theory and tools are correct, and some ideas have been formed, the analysis is not in place, too shallow, and there is no real in-depth explanation of the root cause of the problem and the solution ideas.

案例背景主要是对案例进行一个导入，如果我们在进行案例分析时，直接上来就去描述一个案例，往往会非常突兀，所以我们最好对其案例的背景进行说明，可以通过文献综述的方式进行阐述，也可以通过实时新闻的方式进行导入，总而言之，案例背景的说明对于我们进行案例过程的描述起到一个很关键的过渡作用。

The case background is mainly an introduction of the case, if we directly describe a case in the case analysis, it will often be very abrupt, so we had better explain the case background, either through literature review or real-time news introduction. In a word, The description of the case background plays a crucial transitional role in our description of the case process.

在博士论文中，往往构建的模型不止一个。因此，作者会根据不同的应用场景选择不同的决策模型。对于海外合作伙伴的选择，后悔规避下的群体偏离靶心度决策模型更为适合；对于海外生产基地的选址，构建基于动态后悔的多层次风险型决策模型能够更好地解决问题。

In doctoral dissertations, more than one model is often constructed. Therefore, the author will choose different decision models according to different application scenarios. For the selection of overseas partners, the group deviation bullseye decision model based on regret avoidance is more suitable. As for the location of overseas production base, the multi-level risk decision model based on dynamic regret can solve the problem better.

风险决策是一种特殊的决策类型。经典的决策框架仅仅考虑了一种状态下可能会得到的结果，而风险决策则充分考虑多种不同状态条件，分场景地建立决策模型。一般来说，在风险决策中会多一种参数S，它代表自然状态。

Risk decision is a special type of decision. The classical decision-making framework only considers the results that may be obtained under one state, while risk decision-making fully considers a variety of different state conditions and establishes decision-making models in different fields. Generally speaking, there is an extra parameter S in the risk decision, which represents the natural state.

上图为风险决策矩阵的参考，我们可以看到方案B1、B2、B3在三种状态下分别探究了其结果，这样得到的预估结果会更具科学性和适用性。

The figure above is the reference of the risk decision matrix. We can see that the results of schemes B1, B2 and B3 are respectively explored in three states, so that the predicted results will be more scientific and applicable.

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本文由LearningYard学苑原创，仅代表作者个人观点，如有侵权请联系删除。

翻译参考来源：有道翻译。

内容参考来源：

[1]钱丽丽. 后悔规避视角下的灰色风险型决策方法及其应用研究[D].南京航空航天大学,2020.